Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-112/-118).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 53.5 (-118) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).

Pros

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 66.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
CeeDee Lamb’s receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.2% to 18.8%.
CeeDee Lamb’s pass-game effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a mere 2.70 yards-per-target compared to a 9.37 figure last year.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in football.
The Cincinnati Bengals cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards