Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Hayden HurstReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Cowboys vs. Bengals
Right now, Hayden Hurst’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 25.5 (-125) after it opened @ 26.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.2% pass rate.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
- Hayden Hurst has notched a colossal 21.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among TEs.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.28 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in the league.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
- Hayden Hurst has been among the bottom tight ends in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 17th percentile.
- The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
