Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-112/-117).

The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-112) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).

Pros

This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
This week, Travis Etienne is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 81st percentile among RBs with 15.6 rush attempts.
Travis Etienne has been a more important option in his team’s ground game this year (63.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (51.6%).
Travis Etienne has picked up 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (86th percentile).

Cons

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jaguars to run on 41.5% of their downs: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
Travis Etienne’s 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this season signifies a material drop-off in his rushing talent over last season’s 5.1 rate.
The Titans defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards