NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Giants vs. Eagles
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 64.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Giants rank as the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 40.8% run rate.
- The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
- In this week’s contest, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.2 carries.
- Among all running backs, Saquon Barkley grades out in the 97th percentile for carries this year, making up 66.8% of the workload in his offense’s running game.
Cons
- The Giants will be rolling with backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this week’s game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week’s game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
- The Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league last year at run-game blocking.
- Saquon Barkley’s 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a significant drop-off in his rushing skills over last year’s 78.0 mark.
- This year, the fierce Philadelphia Eagles run defense has surrendered a paltry 100.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards
79
Rushing Yards
