Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jaylen Warren

Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards

Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers as the most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
After taking on 16.3% of his team’s run game usage last year, Jaylen Warren has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now making up 31.8%.
When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in football last year.
Jaylen Warren’s 42.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies an impressive boost in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 23.0 figure.

Cons

The Pittsburgh Steelers may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup QB Mason Rudolph.
At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 101.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Baltimore’s collection of DTs has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards