NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Ravens vs. Steelers
Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
- Our trusted projections expect the Steelers as the most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- After taking on 16.3% of his team’s run game usage last year, Jaylen Warren has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now making up 31.8%.
- When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in football last year.
- Jaylen Warren’s 42.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies an impressive boost in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 23.0 figure.
Cons
- The Pittsburgh Steelers may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup QB Mason Rudolph.
- At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
- Opposing teams have run for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 101.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
- When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Baltimore’s collection of DTs has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards
53
Rushing Yards
