Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Javonte Williams from EV Insight

Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-120) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

Javonte Williams has received 53.4% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Javonte Williams has picked up 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (75th percentile).

Cons

The Broncos may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
This week’s line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -3-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 3rd-slowest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.44 seconds per snap.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Rushing Yards