Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Javonte WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Raiders vs. Broncos
Right now, Javonte Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-120) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- Javonte Williams has received 53.4% of his team’s rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
- Javonte Williams has picked up 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (75th percentile).
Cons
- The Broncos may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
- This week’s line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -3-point underdogs.
- The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 3rd-slowest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.44 seconds per snap.
- The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Rushing Yards
52
Rushing Yards
