Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Devin SingletaryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Colts vs. Texans
Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (+112/-148).
The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (+112) after it opened @ 61.5 (-114).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are projected by the model to call 69.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
- The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a whopping 60.0 per game on average).
- In this week’s contest, Devin Singletary is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.4 rush attempts.
- With a terrific record of 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (80th percentile), Devin Singletary rates among the leading running backs in the NFL this year.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (133 per game) against the Colts defense this year.
Cons
- Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to run on 41.4% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the ramifications it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Texans grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards
86
Rushing Yards
