Week 18 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Devin Singletary from EV Insight

Devin SingletaryRushing Yards

Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (+112/-148).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (+112) after it opened @ 61.5 (-114).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are projected by the model to call 69.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a whopping 60.0 per game on average).
In this week’s contest, Devin Singletary is predicted by the projections to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.4 rush attempts.
With a terrific record of 52.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (80th percentile), Devin Singletary rates among the leading running backs in the NFL this year.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (133 per game) against the Colts defense this year.

Cons

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to run on 41.4% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the ramifications it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Texans grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards