Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mason Rudolph from EV Insight

Mason RudolphPassing Yards

Right now, Mason Rudolph’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

The Pittsburgh Steelers may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup QB Mason Rudolph.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in football.
Mason Rudolph is positioned as one of the best precision passers in the league this year with an outstanding 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 85th percentile.
With an exceptional 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target (92nd percentile) this year, Mason Rudolph has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in the league.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The model projects Mason Rudolph to attempt 28.6 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
138
Passing Yards