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Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mason Rudolph from EV Insight

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Mason Rudolph

Mason RudolphPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 18

Ravens vs. Steelers

Right now, Mason Rudolph’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup QB Mason Rudolph.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in football.
  • Mason Rudolph is positioned as one of the best precision passers in the league this year with an outstanding 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 85th percentile.
  • With an exceptional 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target (92nd percentile) this year, Mason Rudolph has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in the league.
Cons

  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • The model projects Mason Rudolph to attempt 28.6 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.

Projection
THE BLITZ
138
Passing Yards

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