NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Mason RudolphPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Ravens vs. Steelers
Right now, Mason Rudolph’s passing yards prop is set at 200.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- The Pittsburgh Steelers may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be forced to utilize backup QB Mason Rudolph.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in football.
- Mason Rudolph is positioned as one of the best precision passers in the league this year with an outstanding 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 85th percentile.
- With an exceptional 8.34 adjusted yards-per-target (92nd percentile) this year, Mason Rudolph has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in the league.
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.
- Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
- The model projects Mason Rudolph to attempt 28.6 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.
- In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
138
Passing Yards
138
Passing Yards
