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Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

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Dak Prescott

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 18

Commanders vs. Cowboys

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 278.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are projected by the model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year.
  • Dak Prescott’s 266.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a material gain in his throwing skills over last season’s 241.0 figure.
  • With a stellar 67.6% Adjusted Completion% (87th percentile) this year, Dak Prescott rates as one of the most on-target QBs in football.
Cons

  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge 13.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Projection
THE BLITZ
253
Passing Yards

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