Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride from EV Insight

Trey McBrideReceiving Yards

Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-110) after it opened @ 52.5 (-114).

Pros

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week’s contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
The predictive model expects Trey McBride to notch 8.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
Trey McBride’s 48.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year shows a significant gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 29.0 rate.
This year, the shaky Seahawks defense has conceded a colossal 55.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 7th-most in the league.

Cons

The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.5% pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
68
Receiving Yards