Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tanner Hudson from EV Insight

Tanner HudsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Tanner Hudson’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 27.5 (-110) after it opened @ 28.5 (-110).

Pros

The Bengals may take to the air less this week (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Jake Browning.
At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (66.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.
In this week’s game, Tanner Hudson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 80th percentile among tight ends with 4.4 targets.
Tanner Hudson has totaled significantly more air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (10.0 per game).

Cons

A running game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
With a bad 3.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Tanner Hudson places as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league in space.
This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a mere 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards