Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
Noah Fant’s 9.0 adjusted yards per target this season shows a noteworthy boost in his receiving talent over last season’s 7.6 mark.
The Cardinals pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. tight ends this year, conceding 8.31 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.

Cons

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
Noah Fant’s 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 24.6.

Projection

THE BLITZ
23
Receiving Yards