Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mike Evans from EV Insight

Mike EvansReceiving Yards

Right now, Mike Evans’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-139/+107).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (+107) after it opened @ 61.5 (-113).

Pros

The projections expect Mike Evans to earn 7.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
When talking about air yards, Mike Evans grades out in the towering 97th percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a superb 118.0 per game.
Mike Evans’s 66.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 55.0.
Mike Evans profiles as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 71.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
Mike Evans’s ability to generate extra yardage has been refined this year, accumulating 4.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 2.64 figure last year.

Cons

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week’s contest, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the league.
This year, the formidable Carolina Panthers defense has yielded a measly 117.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards