NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Mike EvansReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Mike Evans’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-139/+107).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (+107) after it opened @ 61.5 (-113).
Pros
- The projections expect Mike Evans to earn 7.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
- When talking about air yards, Mike Evans grades out in the towering 97th percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a superb 118.0 per game.
- Mike Evans’s 66.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 55.0.
- Mike Evans profiles as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 71.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
- Mike Evans’s ability to generate extra yardage has been refined this year, accumulating 4.78 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 2.64 figure last year.
Cons
- With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week’s contest, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the league.
- This year, the formidable Carolina Panthers defense has yielded a measly 117.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards
62
Receiving Yards
