Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Michael PittmanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Colts vs. Texans
Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 77.5 (-110) after it opened @ 79.5 (-110).
Pros
- Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 61.1% of their downs: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 138.2 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Michael Pittman’s 74.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects an impressive gain in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 61.0 mark.
- The Houston Texans defense has given up the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (173.0) vs. wideouts this year.
Cons
- The Houston Texans cornerbacks project as the 5th-best group of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
103
Receiving Yards
103
Receiving Yards
