NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Bengals vs. Browns
Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 62.5 (-114) after it opened @ 61.5 (-113).
Pros
- The Bengals may take to the air less this week (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Jake Browning.
- At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (66.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-most on the slate this week.
- Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 95.9% of his team’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
- This week, Ja’Marr Chase is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.6 targets.
Cons
- A running game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
- After accruing 97.0 air yards per game last year, Ja’Marr Chase has regressed heavily this year, currently pacing 89.0 per game.
- Ja’Marr Chase’s 79.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a meaningful reduction in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 93.0 mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards
66
Receiving Yards
