NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Greg DortchReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Right now, Greg Dortch’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week’s contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
- The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
- While Greg Dortch has earned 9.2% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more important option in Arizona’s passing attack in this week’s game at 16.7%.
- After accumulating 18.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has made big progress this season, currently pacing 30.0 per game.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.1%) vs. WRs this year (67.1%).
Cons
- The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.5% pass rate.
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
- When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
- Greg Dortch’s receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 80.2% to 64.0%.
- The Seattle cornerbacks project as the 4th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards
43
Receiving Yards
