Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Drake London from EV Insight

Drake LondonReceiving Yards

Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 44.5 (-110).

Pros

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week’s game.
The predictive model expects the Falcons to call the most total plays on the slate this week with 70.0 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Drake London to accrue 7.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 58.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 54.6% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Drake London’s 23.5% Target% this season represents a meaningful regression in his pass attack workload over last season’s 29.1% rate.
The New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 138.0) vs. wideouts this year.
This year, the tough Saints defense has surrendered a meager 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards