NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
DK MetcalfReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 68.5 (-110).
Pros
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
- The model projects D.K. Metcalf to accrue 7.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
- In regards to air yards, D.K. Metcalf ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a monstrous 102.0 per game.
- D.K. Metcalf has compiled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (74.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
Cons
- The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
- Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
- When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards
73
Receiving Yards
