Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DK Metcalf from EV Insight

DK MetcalfReceiving Yards

Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 68.5 (-110).

Pros

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
The model projects D.K. Metcalf to accrue 7.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
In regards to air yards, D.K. Metcalf ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among wideouts this year, averaging a monstrous 102.0 per game.
D.K. Metcalf has compiled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (74.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

Cons

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards