Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-114) after it opened @ 42.5 (-114).

Pros

The model projects the Texans as the 9th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are projected by the model to call 69.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a whopping 60.0 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
With an exceptional 42.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (85th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates as one of the leading TE receiving threats in the league.

Cons

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.6 per game) this year.
Dalton Schultz’s 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.
This year, the stout Colts pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a meager 3.7 YAC.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards