Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Courtland Sutton from EV Insight

Courtland SuttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Courtland Sutton’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Broncos may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
This week’s line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -3-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
This year, the weak Raiders pass defense has been torched for a colossal 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 6th-worst rate in the league.

Cons

The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 3rd-slowest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.44 seconds per snap.
As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Las Vegas’s collection of DEs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards