Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Courtland SuttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Raiders vs. Broncos
Right now, Courtland Sutton’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Broncos may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be rolling out backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
- This week’s line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -3-point underdogs.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
- The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
- This year, the weak Raiders pass defense has been torched for a colossal 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 6th-worst rate in the league.
Cons
- The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 3rd-slowest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.44 seconds per snap.
- As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Las Vegas’s collection of DEs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards
60
Receiving Yards
