Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Olave from EV Insight

Chris OlaveReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 70.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 70.5 (-110) after it opened @ 64.5 (-110).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to earn 7.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
Chris Olave has totaled a monstrous 110.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among WRs.
Chris Olave’s 66.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 94th percentile for WRs.

Cons

The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
Chris Olave has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a mere 62.6% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 21st percentile among wide receivers

Projection

THE BLITZ
77
Receiving Yards