Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chigoziem Okonkwo from EV Insight

Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards

Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 25.5 (-110) after it opened @ 22.5 (-110).

Pros

The Tennessee Titans will be forced to use backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.47 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the worst tight ends in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards