Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joshua Dobbs

Joshua DobbsPassing Yards

Right now, Joshua Dobbs’s passing yards prop is set at 182.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 182.5 (-110) after it opened @ 200.5 (-115).

Pros

The Tennessee Titans will be forced to use backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.47 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Joshua Dobbs to attempt 31.2 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Joshua Dobbs has been among the least accurate QBs in the NFL this year with a 57.9% Completion%, ranking in the 16th percentile.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in the NFL vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (68.5%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
205
Passing Yards