Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 94.5 yards (-131/-104).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 94.5 (-104) after it opened @ 95.5 (-117).

Pros

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are projected by the model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.
The Washington Commanders defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year.
In this week’s game, CeeDee Lamb is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.9 targets.
CeeDee Lamb has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (101.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).

Cons

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge 13.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Projection

THE BLITZ
101
Receiving Yards