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Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for CeeDee Lamb from EV Insight

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CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee LambReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 18

Commanders vs. Cowboys

Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 94.5 yards (-131/-104).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 94.5 (-104) after it opened @ 95.5 (-117).

Pros

  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are projected by the model to call 67.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.6 per game) this year.
  • In this week’s game, CeeDee Lamb is projected by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.9 targets.
  • CeeDee Lamb has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (101.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).
Cons

  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge 13.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Projection
THE BLITZ
101
Receiving Yards

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