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Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for C.J. Stroud from EV Insight

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C.J. Stroud

C.J. StroudPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 18

Colts vs. Texans

Right now, C.J. Stroud’s passing yards prop is set at 267.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 267.5 (-127) after it opened @ 251.5 (-119).

Pros

  • The model projects the Texans as the 9th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are projected by the model to call 69.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a whopping 60.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect C.J. Stroud to attempt 37.6 passes this week, on balance: the 7th-most among all QBs.
Cons

  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.6 per game) this year.
  • C.J. Stroud comes in as one of the worst precision passers in football this year with a 61.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Projection
THE BLITZ
270
Passing Yards

Previous Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Pickens from EV Insight Next Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight