NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Calvin RidleyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Titans vs. Jaguars
Right now, Calvin Ridley’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).
Pros
- At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
- With a top-tier 93.0% Route Participation% (91st percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.
- This week, Calvin Ridley is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 91st percentile among WRs with 8.1 targets.
- This year, the anemic Titans pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the league.
Cons
- This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
- The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- With a poor 59.1% Adjusted Catch% (21st percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley places among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.
- With a lackluster 2.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley stands among the best WRs in the league in football in space.
- The Tennessee Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards
62
Receiving Yards
