Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Calvin Ridley from EV Insight

Calvin RidleyReceiving Yards

Right now, Calvin Ridley’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-110) after it opened @ 48.5 (-110).

Pros

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
With a top-tier 93.0% Route Participation% (91st percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.
This week, Calvin Ridley is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 91st percentile among WRs with 8.1 targets.
This year, the anemic Titans pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the league.

Cons

This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
With a poor 59.1% Adjusted Catch% (21st percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley places among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to wide receivers.
With a lackluster 2.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley stands among the best WRs in the league in football in space.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards