Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (+102/-139).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 22.5 (-139) after it opened @ 27.5 (-119).

Pros

Cade Otton’s 88.4% Route% this season conveys a significant progression in his passing offense utilization over last season’s 63.9% figure.
This week, Cade Otton is expected by the projection model to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.1 targets.
When talking about air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the towering 80th percentile among TEs this year, totaling an impressive 29.0 per game.
Cade Otton’s 70.1% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive growth in his receiving ability over last season’s 66.2% rate.
This year, the poor Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a staggering 8.71 yards.

Cons

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week’s contest, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the league.
Cade Otton grades out as one of the bottom tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards