Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Trevor Lawrence

Trevor LawrencePassing Yards

Right now, Trevor Lawrence’s passing yards prop is set at 235.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
With a fantastic record of 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game (76th percentile), Trevor Lawrence has been as one of the best quarterbacks in football this year.
This year, the anemic Titans defense has surrendered a monstrous 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.
The Titans cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

Cons

This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
This year, the imposing Tennessee Titans defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing teams: a feeble 4.1 YAC.

Projection

THE BLITZ
233
Passing Yards