Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Trevor LawrencePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Titans vs. Jaguars
Right now, Trevor Lawrence’s passing yards prop is set at 235.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (64.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Jaguars.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.
- With a fantastic record of 251.0 adjusted passing yards per game (76th percentile), Trevor Lawrence has been as one of the best quarterbacks in football this year.
- This year, the anemic Titans defense has surrendered a monstrous 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-largest rate in the league.
- The Titans cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.
Cons
- This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 3.5 points.
- The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- This year, the imposing Tennessee Titans defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing teams: a feeble 4.1 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
233
Passing Yards
233
Passing Yards
