Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight

Kyler MurrayPassing Yards

Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (-132/+102).

The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (-132) after it opened @ 224.5 (-114).

Pros

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs in this week’s contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
Kyler Murray has attempted 34.4 passes per game this year, grading out in the 77th percentile among quarterbacks.

Cons

The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.5% pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Kyler Murray grades out as one of the least effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 6.53 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 17th percentile.
The Seattle cornerbacks project as the 4th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
237
Passing Yards