NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Gardner MinshewPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Colts vs. Texans
Right now, Gardner Minshew’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 234.5 (-114) after it opened @ 239.5 (-115).
Pros
- Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 61.1% of their downs: the 6th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 138.2 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The model projects Gardner Minshew to attempt 39.4 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.
- Opposing offenses have thrown for the 6th-most adjusted yards in football (262.0 per game) vs. the Texans defense this year.
Cons
- Gardner Minshew’s 6.59 adjusted yards-per-target this year marks a significant reduction in his throwing effectiveness over last year’s 7.8% figure.
- The Houston Texans cornerbacks project as the 5th-best group of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
295
Passing Yards
295
Passing Yards
