Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Baker Mayfield

Baker MayfieldPassing Yards

Right now, Baker Mayfield’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 222.5 (-110) after it opened @ 223.5 (-110).

Pros

Baker Mayfield has passed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (237.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
Baker Mayfield’s pass-game efficiency has improved this year, totaling 7.09 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 5.89 rate last year.

Cons

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week’s contest, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).
In this week’s game, Baker Mayfield is projected by the model to have the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.8.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards