Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Baker MayfieldPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Baker Mayfield’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 222.5 (-110) after it opened @ 223.5 (-110).
Pros
- Baker Mayfield has passed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (237.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
- Baker Mayfield’s pass-game efficiency has improved this year, totaling 7.09 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 5.89 rate last year.
Cons
- With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week’s contest, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).
- In this week’s game, Baker Mayfield is projected by the model to have the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.8.
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards
216
Passing Yards
