Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Bets

Week 18 Player Props: Passing Yards for Baker Mayfield from EV Insight

Share
Contents
Close
Baker Mayfield

Baker MayfieldPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 18

Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Right now, Baker Mayfield’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 222.5 (-110) after it opened @ 223.5 (-110).

Pros

  • Baker Mayfield has passed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (237.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
  • Baker Mayfield’s pass-game efficiency has improved this year, totaling 7.09 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 5.89 rate last year.
Cons

  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week’s contest, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projections to call only 63.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).
  • In this week’s game, Baker Mayfield is projected by the model to have the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.8.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense this year: fewest in the league.

Projection
THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards

Previous College Football Betting Preview: College Football Playoff Championship Game Next NBA Best Bets of the Day (1/5)