NBA Prop of the Day
Jake Silverman
Ty ChandlerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Vikings vs. Packers
Right now, Ty Chandler’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 62.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-114).
Pros
- While Ty Chandler has received 31.3% of his offense’s carries in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Minnesota’s rushing attack in this contest at 51.8%.
- This year, the poor Packers run defense has surrendered a massive 137.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
- When it comes to the safeties’ role in defending against the run, Green Bay’s unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in football. in football.
Cons
- The Minnesota Vikings may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Jaren Hall.
- The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 127.9 offensive plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
- The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards
55
Rushing Yards
