NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tony PollardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Cowboys vs. Lions
Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-103/-133).
The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-103) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).
Pros
- With a 4.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 130.7 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
- The Cowboys have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.5 plays per game.
- In this week’s contest, Tony Pollard is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.4 rush attempts.
- With a remarkable rate of 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (89th percentile), Tony Pollard rates among the leading running backs in football this year.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 8th-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- This year, the daunting Lions run defense has yielded a mere 91.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in football.
- As it relates to the safeties’ role in run defense, Detroit’s unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Rushing Yards
69
Rushing Yards
