Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Brian Robinson from EV Insight

Brian RobinsonRushing Yards

Right now, Brian Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-117/-112).

The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (-117) after it opened @ 35.5 (-118).

Pros

Cons

This game’s line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Commanders, who are enormous -14-point underdogs.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to run on 32.1% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Washington Commanders ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 86.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
48
Rushing Yards