Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Austin Hooper from EV Insight

Austin HooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 20.5 (-120) after it opened @ 17.5 (-115).

Pros

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Austin Hooper checks in as one of the best possession receivers in the league among TEs, catching an excellent 77.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.
Austin Hooper’s 5.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a meaningful growth in his effectiveness in space over last season’s 3.5% figure.

Cons

Right now, the 7th-least pass-heavy team in football (57.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Las Vegas Raiders.
With regard to a defense’s influence on pace, at 28.57 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-slowest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 32.7 per game) this year.
Austin Hooper’s 38.8% Route% this season conveys an impressive decrease in his passing offense usage over last season’s 60.1% mark.
Austin Hooper has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (7.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).

Projection

THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards