Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Brian RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Commanders vs. 49ers
Right now, Brian Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-117/-112).
The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (-117) after it opened @ 35.5 (-118).
Pros
Cons
- This game’s line suggests an extreme passing game script for the Commanders, who are enormous -14-point underdogs.
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to run on 32.1% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- The predictive model expects this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Washington Commanders ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 86.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Rushing Yards
48
Rushing Yards
