Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Bears vs. Falcons
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-115) after it opened @ 49.5 (-110).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Falcons as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 50.9% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- At the moment, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Falcons.
- Bijan Robinson has been given 40.6% of his offense’s run game usage this year, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- The Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football last year in run support.
- With a fantastic rate of 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (80th percentile), Bijan Robinson stands as one of the top pure rushers in football this year.
Cons
- Opposing teams have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 81.0 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards
63
Rushing Yards
