Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Conklin from EV Insight

Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Jets will be starting backup QB Trevor Siemian in this week’s game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog in this week’s game.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Tyler Conklin checks in as one of the leading TE receiving threats this year, averaging an exceptional 36.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Cons

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
When talking about pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
The Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 32.0) vs. tight ends this year.
This year, the imposing Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a feeble 6.6 yards.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Cleveland’s group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 10th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
33
Receiving Yards