Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Woods from EV Insight

Robert WoodsReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (+102/-139).

The public has bet the OVER up to 24.5 (+102) after it opened @ 23.5 (-115).

Pros

The Tennessee Titans will be forced to start backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in football.
Robert Woods has been a much smaller piece of his team’s offense this season, staying in the game for just 78.3% of snaps vs 92.3% last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.8 plays per game.
Robert Woods has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Robert Woods has accumulated a lot fewer receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards