MLB Best Bets – Free (Wednesday 5/15)
Josh Gross
Robert WoodsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Titans vs. Cowboys
Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (+102/-139).
The public has bet the OVER up to 24.5 (+102) after it opened @ 23.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Tennessee Titans will be forced to start backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in football.
- Robert Woods has been a much smaller piece of his team’s offense this season, staying in the game for just 78.3% of snaps vs 92.3% last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.8 plays per game.
- Robert Woods has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).
- The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Robert Woods has accumulated a lot fewer receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards
34
Receiving Yards
