Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Quentin Johnston from EV Insight

Quentin JohnstonReceiving Yards

Right now, Quentin Johnston’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 37.5 (-110) after it opened @ 39.5 (-114).

Pros

The Los Angeles Chargers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Easton Stick.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
The Chargers rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.5% pass rate.
While Quentin Johnston has garnered 10.7% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles’s passing attack this week at 19.5%.
This year, the poor Broncos defense has been gouged for the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a massive 9.20 yards.

Cons

The projections expect the Chargers to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Quentin Johnston profiles as one of the worst possession receivers in football, hauling in just 58.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 17th percentile among wideouts
Quentin Johnston comes in as one of the least effective receivers in football, averaging a mere 6.97 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 17th percentile when it comes to wideouts

Projection

THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards