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Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

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Michael Pittman

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 17

Colts vs. Raiders

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 72.5 (-110) after it opened @ 79.5 (-110).

Pros

  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are forecasted by the model to run 66.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Michael Pittman has totaled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (76.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
  • The Raiders pass defense has been gouged for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69%) versus wideouts this year (69.0%).
Cons

  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3.5-point favorite this week.
  • As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Las Vegas’s unit has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

Projection
THE BLITZ
89
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Ty Chandler from EV Insight Next Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tucker Kraft from EV Insight