NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Isaiah LikelyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Ravens vs. Dolphins
Right now, Isaiah Likely’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-110) after it opened @ 40.5 (-114).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
- The leading projections forecast Isaiah Likely to accumulate 5.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
- Our trusted projections expect Isaiah Likely to be a much bigger part of his offense’s air attack in this contest (17.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.8% in games he has played).
- Isaiah Likely’s receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 65.4% to 82.0%.
- This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed a colossal 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 10th-largest rate in football.
Cons
- A rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Isaiah Likely has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (13.0 per game) than he did last year (26.0 per game).
- The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
