Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Bears vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- At the moment, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Falcons.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
- This week, Drake London is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 78th percentile among wideouts with 6.5 targets.
- When talking about air yards, Drake London ranks in the lofty 80th percentile among wide receivers this year, accruing an impressive 74.0 per game.
- With an outstanding 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (80th percentile) this year, Drake London places among the top wide receivers in the league in football.
Cons
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 49.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
- Drake London’s 57.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 66.6.
Projection
THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards
43
Receiving Yards
