NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Browns vs. Jets
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-115) after it opened @ 60.5 (-105).
Pros
- At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.
- The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
- The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 65.9 plays per game.
- The leading projections forecast Amari Cooper to earn 9.1 targets in this week’s game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- After averaging 96.0 air yards per game last year, Amari Cooper has been rising this year, currently pacing 121.0 per game.
Cons
- An extreme running game script is indicated by the Browns being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game.
- Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.7 per game) this year.
- Amari Cooper’s ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 64.9% to 59.2%.
- This year, the fierce New York Jets defense has allowed a paltry 97.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the best in football.
- This year, the imposing New York Jets defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a measly 6.8 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards
60
Receiving Yards
