Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-115) after it opened @ 60.5 (-105).

Pros

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the league (64.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.
The model projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 65.9 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Amari Cooper to earn 9.1 targets in this week’s game, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
After averaging 96.0 air yards per game last year, Amari Cooper has been rising this year, currently pacing 121.0 per game.

Cons

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Browns being a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Jets, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.7 per game) this year.
Amari Cooper’s ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 64.9% to 59.2%.
This year, the fierce New York Jets defense has allowed a paltry 97.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the best in football.
This year, the imposing New York Jets defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a measly 6.8 yards.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards