NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Adam ThielenReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Jaguars vs. Panthers
Right now, Adam Thielen’s receiving yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 44.5 (-110) after it opened @ 41.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game’s line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are huge -7-point underdogs.
- The Panthers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
- The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.7 per game) this year.
- The leading projections forecast Adam Thielen to notch 8.3 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- Adam Thielen’s 68.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a material growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 47.0 mark.
Cons
- The model projects the Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
- The Jacksonville cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards
60
Receiving Yards
