NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Lamar JacksonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Ravens vs. Dolphins
Right now, Lamar Jackson’s passing yards prop is set at 230.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are projected by the predictive model to call 66.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
- The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
- Lamar Jackson has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (221.0) this year than he did last year (191.0).
- Lamar Jackson’s 67.2% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a material gain in his passing accuracy over last year’s 62.9% rate.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year (72.9% Adjusted Completion%).
Cons
- A rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- The Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.03 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in football.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
218
Passing Yards
218
Passing Yards
